The future is electric. This mantra has been repeated by policy and transportation think tanks, national governments and automakers alike. With projections that today’s five million electric vehicles (EVs) could grow to as many as 250 million in just 10 years, and that by 2040, more than half of passenger vehicle sales will be EVs, tomorrow’s fuelling infrastructure will be electrical grids.
Traditionally, our electric grids have been designed for largely stationary loads — think households or industrial plants. EVs are essentially large mobile batteries that could draw their power anywhere and anytime, and this can have significant consequences if the electrical infrastructure is not adequately built, particularly at the neighbourhood and building transformer level.
Understanding what EVs will do to the electrical load profile — the measurement of electricity use over time — will help utilities and facilities prepare for this transformation.
The Charge the North project conducted by FleetCarma, a division of Geotab followed over 1,000 EV drivers across Canada, tracking their driving and charging behavior.
Charge the North, initiated in 2017, is the largest study of its kind, provides important insights into: EV load profiles (which are unique to each service territory) and what actions can minimize the need for costly infrastructure upgrades. Access the full report here.
Project milestones so far:
Understanding load profile will be important for fleet operators too. For a company transitioning their fleet to electric, charging infrastructure needs will be top of mind. Similar to how utilities can benefit by profiling their territories, a fleet can do the same for their own operations to help predict their fleet’s electrical demand on their facilities — and take preventative steps to minimize costs.
See also: Electrify Your Fleet: Q&A with the Expert
What can the driving and charging behaviors of EV drivers across Canada tell fleet managers about preparing for EV adoption? There are four key findings:
There is a strong correlation with daily utilization to dangerous load peaks. For personal vehicles, this shows up by segmenting drivers into neighbourhood type: rural, suburban or urban. These segmentations are a good predictor on how long the average daily trip is, and consequently how much more energy is required to charge the vehicle on a daily or weekly basis.
In suburban neighborhoods, risk to local transformers is shown to be the most significant. Four or five neighbors coming home with depleted batteries can overwhelm a local transformer.
A fleet that operates in a small geographic area with short daily trips will be less likely to overwhelm the electrical infrastructure in their fleet yard, as compared to one with a large territory and high utilization. This is exasperated when the vehicles return to the fleet yard and plug in at the same time.
As the trend moves to longer range electric vehicles with larger batteries, energy demand and consequently load peaks will be greater.
While many of the early electric cars had batteries under 30kWh, nowadays we’re seeing vehicles with 60 or even 100kWh batteries. Rivian, an electric-focused automaker with recent investments from Amazon and Ford, has revealed that they plan to use a staggering 180kWh battery for both their electric pickup and SUV.
While long-range EVs will bring many benefits to fleet operations, charging those batteries will have consequences on a fleet facility and can result in significantly higher demand charges.
This will happen in two ways:
Chart above shows significantly higher coincident peaks from 5 long-range battery electric vehicles (BEVs) compared to combinations of vehicles with smaller battery sizes. Legend: PHEV = plug-in hybrid electric vehicle, SR BEV = short range battery electric vehicle, LR BEV = long range battery electric vehicle
On colder days, an EV requires more energy per distance (mostly due to energy used to heat the cabin). Depending on the sector, fleets’ winter utilization may go down, stay the same, or even go up. In operations where utilization remains the same or increases in winter, one can expect larger demand on the facility in colder months.
Interestingly, according to the Charge the North study, the total energy needed over winter for personal EVs stayed about the same as Canadians tend to drive less in winter. Being aware of seasonal differences in their operations will help a fleet manager prepare for charging requirements at their facilities.
For personal vehicle use, those who had access to public or workplace charging had significantly less critical demand during the evenings, which puts less stress on neighbourhood home transformers.
For fleet operators, identifying opportunities to charge during the day, whether it be enroute at public charging stations or while stopped at customer facilities, will reduce evening peak load at the fleet yard. A good place to start is understanding where and for how long your vehicles dwell. This can help inform a charging strategy.
Similar to EV driver segmentations, different fleet applications/sectors will have their own load profile signatures. Knowing vehicle specs, trip types and seasonal variations can predict how transitioning to EVs will impact the power demand on a fleet’s facilities, and help inform an appropriate charging strategy. The good news is that costs can be minimized with the right planning and tools.
Learn about EV fleet management with Geotab on our Electric Vehicles page.
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